How can you be 100 percent sure you will win a bet? Why did so many Pompeians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting? Are you more likely to work in a kitchen if your last name is Baker? Ever since the dawn of human civilization, we have been trying to make predictions about what the world has in store for us. For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. In How to Expec...(展开全部)

森舸澜（Edward Slingerland），现任英属哥伦比亚大学亚洲研究教授、中国思想与涉身认知研究所所长、哲学与心理学会成员、宗教历史数据库主任。曾就读普林斯顿、斯坦福、加州大学伯克利分校，精研中国古代思想，功底深厚，是东西方哲学宗教思想比较、认知科学等领域的世界著名专家。主要研究方向：战国时期中国哲学思想、宗教思想比较、认知科学与宗教演变、认知语言学（概念整合隐喻理论）、伦理学（德性伦理学、道德心理学）、进化心理学、人文与自然科学的关系、古典汉语等。森舸澜曾发表一大批学术文章，出版多部专著，如《科学与人文科学》（What Science Offers the Humanities）等，还翻译出版了孔子的《论语》（Analects）等。

森舸澜（Edward Slingerland），现任英属哥伦比亚大学亚洲研究教授、中国思想与涉身认知研究所所长、哲学与心理学会成员、宗教历史数据库主任。曾就读普林斯顿、斯坦福、加州大学伯克利分校，精研中国古代思想，功底深厚，是东西方哲学宗教思想比较、认知科学等领域的世界著名专家。主要研究方向：战国时期中国哲学思想、宗教思想比较、认知科学与宗教演变、认知语言学（概念整合隐喻理论）、伦理学（德性伦理学、道德心理学）、进化心理学、人文与自然科学的关系、古典汉语等。森舸澜曾发表一大批学术文章，出版多部专著，如《科学与人文科学》（What Science Offers the Humanities）等，还翻译出版了孔子的《论语》（Analects）等。

Every new project (or career or relationship) starts out exciting and fun. Then it gets harder and less fun, until it hits a low point - really hard, really not fun. At this point you might be in a Dip, which will get better if you keep pushing, or a Cul-de-Sac, which will never get better no matter how hard you try. The hard part is knowing the difference and acting on it. Acc...(展开全部)

In the book How to Rap, Guerilla Black notes that Eminem studied other MCs to create his rapping technique – “Eminem listened to everything and that’s what made him one of the greats”. Eminem is praised there for various aspects of his rapping technique by numerous other MCs – these techniques include: his varied and humorous subject matter, connecting with his audience, carry...(展开全部)

Business leaders, with millions of dollars down the drain, struggle to abandon a new app or product that just isn’t working. Governments, caught in a hopeless conflict, believe that the next tactic will finally be the one that wins the war. And in our own lives, we persist in relationships or careers that no longer serve us. Why? According to Annie Duke, in the face of tough de...(展开全部)

Business leaders, with millions of dollars down the drain, struggle to abandon a new app or product that just isn’t working. Governments, caught in a hopeless conflict, believe that the next tactic will finally be the one that wins the war. And in our own lives, we persist in relationships or careers that no longer serve us. Why? According to Annie Duke, in the face of tough de...(展开全部)

兰斯·埃斯普伦德是《华尔街日报》艺术专栏的撰稿人。他曾担任彭博新闻(Bloomberg News)的艺术评论家和《纽约太阳报》(New York Sun)的首席艺术评论家，曾在帕森斯设计学院（Parsons School of Design）和赖德大学（Rider University）教授工作室艺术和艺术史，并在纽约工作室学院担任MFA访问评论家。他的文章见于《美国艺术》（Art in America）、《哈泼斯》（Harper’s）、《现代画家》（Modern Painters）和《新共和》（The New Republic）等杂志，现居于纽约布鲁克林。

A groundbreaking treatise by one of the great mathematicians of our time, who argues that highly effective thinking can be learned. What spurs on and inspires a great idea? Can we train ourselves to think in a way that will enable world-changing understandings and insights to emerge? Richard Hamming said we can, and first inspired a generation of engineers, scientists, and rese...(展开全部)

A groundbreaking treatise by one of the great mathematicians of our time, who argues that highly effective thinking can be learned. What spurs on and inspires a great idea? Can we train ourselves to think in a way that will enable world-changing understandings and insights to emerge? Richard Hamming said we can, and first inspired a generation of engineers, scientists, and rese...(展开全部)